Today’s report will include:

• BITCOIN Technical Analysis

• Market Psychology

• Trading Tools

• FREE Crypto Trading Secretes Guide 2025

Market Auction Theory 

Bitcoin’s current price action is unfolding within the framework of Market Auction Theory, a concept that dictates how price moves between high and low volume areas. Right now, Bitcoin is testing a critical decision point, where a breakdown could trigger a full bearish rotation to lower prices.

Technical Points Signaling the Bearish Market Auction Theory:

• Key Market Levels: The Value Area High (VAH), Value Area Low (VAL), and Naked Point of Control (NPOC) define the boundaries of the current price auction. Losing VAH confirms a shift in market control.

• Auction Breakdown in Progress: If Bitcoin confirms a full-body daily close below VAH, it initiates a Market Auction Theory move toward the Value Area Low at $48,000, completing the rotation.

• Elliott Wave Alignment with Market Auction Theory: The price structure suggests a potential five-wave bearish sequence, with a short-term reaction at $65,000–$67,000 before further decline.

Bitcoin has been ranging for the past 11 days, and so far, the Value Area High has acted as a point of control where price has stalled. However, in Market Auction Theory, once the high-volume range is lost, price seeks the next major liquidity zone—in this case, the Value Area Low around $48,000. This aligns with historical price action and the principle that markets move between areas of supply and demand.

The bearish auction process is further supported by Elliott Wave Theory, where Bitcoin appears to be in the midst of a Wave 3 expansion. If price confirms a breakdown, the move toward $48,000 would not be random but rather a structured completion of the bearish auction cycle. A short-term reaction at $65,000–$67,000 may provide a brief bounce, but ultimately, Market Auction Theory suggests the path of least resistance is downward.

For traders, this is a period of high caution. Market Auction Theory favors further downside, and entering long positions prematurely could be risky. Until confirmation of a range reclaim occurs, the probability of completing the bearish auction remains high. Staying patient and letting price action develop within the framework of Market Auction Theory will be essential in the coming weeks.

Hope this analysis helps.

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